ronk said:
My jab is Thursday 4th Feb
It is a step in the right direction but I would like to see the folk who must go out to work be offered their jabs.
Then the numbers will fall.
I wouldn't hold your breath on that one.
circa 1/5 of the hospitalisations are between 18-54 (they recently changed it so they added them all into one group rather than having them equally split up like they do the over 55's.
Roughly, it changes obviously on a day to day basis but you have:
0-5 (not worth reporting) circa 3.86 people in this age range
6-17 (not worth reporting) circa 11.77 people in this age range
18-54 (1/5 of the people) - 38.44 million people in this age range
55-64 (1/5 of the people) 8.17 million people in this age range
64-74 (1/5 of the people) 6.69 million people in this age range
75-84 (1/5 of the people) 4.05 million people in this age range
85+ (1/5 of the people) 1.65 million people in this age range
Keep in mind that there are loads more people in the age 18-54 than say the 75-84 age range but equally the same amount of people go to hospital with the virus from each age group.
As of last year there are 38.44 million people aged under 55 and 4.05 million people aged between 75 and 84. So from my basic man maths an 84 year old is 10 times more likely to end up in hospital from covid than a 55 year old (incidentally they are also at that point 3 years over their life expectancy)
(https://www.statista.com/statistics/281174/uk-population-by-age/#:~:text=In%202019%2C%20there%20were%20approximately,after%20the%20Second%20World%20War.)
It will go down slightly but not as much as you are hoping (if that makes sense)?
If you want to look into it the stats used further please take a look here:
https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/