Ebola is already adapting to human hosts! During the previous ebola outbreaks infected people died faster and the mortality rate was up around 90%, the current outbreak has a lower mortality rate than earlier outbreaks and the infected are surviving longer - it's of no 'benefit'* to the virus to make its host show symptoms and die too quickly, it 'needs'* them to survive for a reasonable amount of time to maximise its spread. Successful virus evolve strategies that maximise their reproductive potential.sars said:my point was that both viruses are transmitted by bodily fluids, to think that HIV is spread just through sexual intercourse is a tad naive, but the relatively quick period between being infected, becoming contagious and the actual symptoms of ebola mean that it is just more efficient at being transferred from host to host.
*I know these are anthropomorphic concepts, but I can't remember all the genetic fitness buzzwords that I learnt at university
This year said:According to a study published in Science in late August by Stephen K. Gire of Harvard and a long list of co-authors, the virus in West Africa seems to have diverged from its lineage in Central Africa just within the past decade
The genetic study by Gire and his colleagues (five of whom were dead of Ebola by the time their study appeared) found 341 mutations as of late August, some of which are significant enough to change the bug's functional identity. The higher the case count in West Africa goes, the more chances for further mutations, and therefore the greater possibility that the virus might adapt somehow to become more transmissible-perhaps by becoming less pathogenic, sickening or killing its victims more slowly and thereby leaving them more time to infect others.
That's why, the Gire group wrote, we need to stop this thing everywhere as soon as possible. Future spillovers of Ebola are bound to occur, but those freshly emerged strains of the virus, direct from the reservoir host, won't contain any adaptive mutations that the West Africa strain is acquiring now.
We need to terminate Ebola 2014 before the virus learns too much about us.
