ferrelscent said:
I reckon oil will cost so much within as little as 10 to 15 years as supplies run dry (or become expensive to reach) that any car that runs on petrol will soon become a classic.
We've got over 200 years before the fuel runs out, but I would agree that as fuel costs rise, hybrids / electrics will become more accepted and a petrol driven sports cars will become a recreational pursuit - just as with horses, which didn't die out once the car was invented. Goods and people still need to go places for a reasonable cost, so buses, trucks and commercial vehicles will all have adopted decades before the pumps run dry IMO.
I think it's also worth defining what a 'classic' is; every car ever made is a classic if it's in mint condition 30 years from now. My definition of a 'classic' is a sought after car of it's era found in those coffee table books of the worlds greatest cars. That will have an M3 Evo, not a 325i. A 205 GTI, not a 204 1.4. An Audi RS4, not a 3.0 Sportline. An Escort Cosworth, not a an XR3i. Etc etc.
But as said, it takes forever anyway; look at the Corrado, the Escort Cosworth, Lotus Carlton, etc. All cars go through a 10 year phase of being unpopular, cheap and unfashionable before they ever begin to become classics - especially BMWs, during which time most of them are lost. That makes them rarer and hence a good one more desirable. Try and find a clean, original E36 or E30 M3 today - quite tricky!