Standby drain current from the battery with the car fully locked should be 10 - 100mA (depending on how much ancillary crap you have running) which equates to between 0.12W and 1.2W. So you need at least this to stop your battery going flat.
You have to remember though that the panels specified power is typically in direct full sun and that's not to common in the UK in winter, and of course you are only generating about 7hrs a day in December (the other 17hrs is discharge so you need to put around 2.5 times the current in compared to what goes out). A typical overcast day produces around 1/10th the quoted power so you should be looking at a minimum 30W panel + charge controller.
You have to remember though that the panels specified power is typically in direct full sun and that's not to common in the UK in winter, and of course you are only generating about 7hrs a day in December (the other 17hrs is discharge so you need to put around 2.5 times the current in compared to what goes out). A typical overcast day produces around 1/10th the quoted power so you should be looking at a minimum 30W panel + charge controller.