The guideline is an inflation target, how the bank manages the system to achieve that is up to the bank, you are painting it (as do most people who argue this point) that the bank is at the beck and call of the government and that the objectives set change from one month to the next. That is simply false. For example the current inflation target of 2% was set (iirc) in 2003, therefore the key objective of the bank has remained the same for 17 years.Perjorative wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 8:12 am Sorry, that's disingenuous at the very least. The MPC may set policy but does so to meet guidelines set by the Chancellor and these guidelines can change as required by the government of the day. At the moment they are asked, among other things, to keep inflation in a band around 2%, but that could change next year.
Yes this is a requirement of the legislation but in reality, as above, the objectives rarely change. If you actually look at them you will notice that very little of the wording changes from letter to letter with them all being 5 or 6 pages long, its basically a standard letter with a different signature.Perjorative wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 8:12 am From the BoE Monetary Policy Committee information 'Every year, the Chancellor sets out a framework under which we have to set monetary policy. They send this to our Governor in a remit letter.'
They can all be found here: Clicky
See above, 17 years since the last change in inflation targetPerjorative wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 8:12 am If the Government decides to change the targets for the MPC, they can, and will, do so without regard for the circumstances of any other country that may be using Sterling.
Scotland is already hostage to circumstancesPerjorative wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 8:12 am Scotland using the £ would be a hostage to circumstances
1- No control over money supply to help manage economy
2- No lender of last resort
3- Scottish banks would have no access to BoE liquidity facilities (potential for bank runs)
4- The Scottish Government could not afford to guarantee bank customer deposits in the event of bank failures (would need 10's of £Billion available)
5- Monetary policy set in London by BoE without worrying how it affects Scotland’s economy
6- Scots fiscal policy would have to be set to appease the money markets as they'd have to borrow sterling to cover budgetary deficits
1. We dont have that at the moment.
2. This is an issue and would need to be solved.
3. This would be down to negotiations but using the Sterling Monetary Framework is entirely possible.
4. While true on the face of things the actual situation is far more complicated and this is a simplistic view specifically taken to make a point.
5. See above, 17 years.
6. Everyones budget is set to appease the money markets, the whole reason we had austerity was to pay down the deficit in order to avoid downgrading of the £
I agree entirely. I wouldn't support a long term use of the £ moving forward.Perjorative wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 8:12 am Scotland would be better off biting the bullet and creating its own currency which would then find its own level in the global exchange rate matrix (pegging to Sterling is an option but can cause more problems than it resolves), but they keep shying away from that avenue because they know it will alienate an awful lot of potential 'Yes' voters if a second referendum is held.
Its a bit like hitting a target a mile out in a foggy blizzard at night with glaucomaPerjorative wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 8:12 am Regardless of the problems involved in Sterlingisation, the real elephant in the room is that the SNP has no real plan as to how Scotland will finance it's brave new world. Currently the SNP's policy is to use the report from The Sustainable Growth Commission setup by Ms Sturgeon, and chaired by an ex-SNP MSP, as its guide - but trying to create the budgetary surplus envisaged by the report will result in austerity worse than the post-2008 era, there will either have to be large tax rises, severe cuts to public services/spending or a combination of both.
They need a new plan but don't seem to be able to come up with one - possibly because keeping all the 'promises' they've made is just fiscally impossible without a lot of hardship for the people of Scotland.
There are so many variables that would need to be addressed before the subject of currency even came up! For example the assets and liabilites, would Scotland get its fair share of assets (hard and soft assets which includes the BoE) and therefore take its fare share of liabilities or would the Uk Gov want to have its cake and eat it too? (leaving Scotland to walk away with zero debt)
Regardless this isnt a Scottish indy thread