Richard, the writing of Henry Marsh is an excellent assessment and understanding of the dilemma faced by the medical profession, health care workers and support required from the population under the direction of government and its advisers.BMWZ4MC wrote: ↑Sun Mar 29, 2020 3:57 am
Thanks John. It looks like both of the lines for the UK data are following the Italian data, just lagging behind.
As does this, written by a remarkably eloquent neurosurgeon from my alma mater:
https://www.ft.com/content/00312c48-6e8 ... 503995cd6f
I’ve yet to see a credible exit strategy from the current circumstance proposed by any government. I perceive there to be three possibilities:
We’re following option one at present but I can’t see that leading to clearance from the population, rather a second wave of infection and then further crisis after we come out of lockdown.
I think that Peter Hitchens is always worth listening to and it seems that the argument that he proposes is that we should essentially let nature take its course, but I disagree that would be the best way and would appear to many as morally irresponsible.mr wilks wrote: ↑Sun Mar 29, 2020 9:56 am
Option 4 possibly ok its from the DM but certainly makes for interesting reading https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/arti ... ppled.html
The economic impact of lockdown will be massive on us all and will change all of our lives in many ways that we don't yet realise. Is it best that we should let nature's Lottery take its course and scythe us down at random or should we attempt to save as many of ourselves as possible to face the uncertain future together? Personally, I think the policy being pursued in the UK is actually a combination of 1 and 3 in Richard's posting, where we've permitted the virus to spread around the UK in, as yet, relatively low numbers, so that the the entire country is infected and followed by the voluntary lockdown measures to slow down the spread which eventually creates herd immunity, whilst at the same time allowing the NHS to cope with the most serious cases of infection. This buys us time whilst we await the necessary vaccine to become available for us all.